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The Strait of Hormuz is almost becoming the global K-line engine! British warships have already joined the fight.
In the past, everyone looked at BTC, only studying technical indicators.
Now, they also need to consider:
Iranian missile ranges.
The recent ceasefire between the US and Iran is increasingly like "couples breaking up verbally but still following each other on social media."
On the surface, it seems to ease tensions, but in reality, both sides are still attacking each other, and the Strait of Hormuz remains tense.
Britain has even sent warships to the Middle East.
Why is the market afraid?
Because one-third of global maritime oil transportation passes through here.
If real trouble occurs, oil prices could skyrocket instantly.
And when oil prices rise, the Federal Reserve's biggest headache comes:
Inflation.
So now the market is entering a very absurd logic:
Middle East conflicts → oil prices rise → delayed rate cuts → BTC declines.
So, to some extent, BTC has now become:
"Global macro sentiment index."
And what truly scares capital is not a single conflict, but a long-term deadlock.
Because prolonged high oil prices mean:
Rising corporate costs;
Global economic slowdown;
Prolonged high interest rates.
Risk assets will all suffer.
But interestingly, after each market crash, long-term funds secretly start accumulating.
The reason is simple:
Capital always bets on future liquidity injections.
So many institutions are now waiting for:
"When will panic reach its limit."
Because that is often when opportunities begin. #Gate广场五月交易分享