May 10, 2026 (Price reference valid only for the day)

BTC core critical level: 81,000
BTC daily bullish/bearish dividing line: 80,100
Resistance levels above: 81,000, 81,100, 81,700
Support levels below: 80,100, 79,900, 79,500

Today, BTC is in a correction phase leaning towards bearish consolidation, rebounding from 79,400. It has hit the 81,000 level multiple times but hasn't broken through. The upward momentum is weakening, and although there are buyers below, they haven't dared to push higher. The key level to watch today remains at 81,000. This zone is where Fibonacci short-term and daily timeframes resonate, plus the one-hour high reached in the early hours of May 10 near this area, with several levels overlapping.

Next, let's discuss two possible scenarios. The more probable one, in my opinion, is if BTC can truly break above 81,000 and not be pushed back by a single attempt. The intention would be to continue the rebound from 79,400, aiming to test the 81,900 area corresponding to the daily derivative segment. This would be a critical signal for shifting the short- and medium-term trend to bullish. However, after breaking above, volume must follow through, holdings should increase from reduction to accumulation, and the four-hour candle must not close below the Bollinger middle band. All three conditions are essential; missing any one of them would only be a false breakout, and a real attempt would only happen after a confirmed hold above 81,000 on a pullback. The support to watch is whether a pullback to 80,500 can hold, which is the four-hour Fibonacci support. Holding this level could allow a short-term continuation towards 81,000 for a second attempt. If the price directly falls below 80,100, the strategy must change. This level is the lowest point of the one-hour candle at 8 a.m. on May 9. If broken, the entire daily correction structure will loosen immediately, and the next target could be around 79,800, then 79,500. If these levels are broken consecutively, the weekly chart might need to revisit the 79,100 zone.

Today and tomorrow, focus on two key points. First, whether the four-hour candlestick at 12:00 can close above 81,000 with volume. If it does, bullish funds will quickly return; if it closes below the middle band again, the current rebound structure will likely end, and the focus will shift to the next support level. Second, any statements from Powell in the week before he takes over as Fed Chair. If more dovish signals emerge, the dollar will weaken further, which is positive for BTC's recovery. $BTC ‌#BTC重返8万 Clicking on my avatar to watch the live stream.