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BTC Today’s Analysis and Trading Suggestions:
Current Pattern: Confirmed bullish trend on the daily chart + short-term technical overbought correction
BTC is fluctuating around $80,770, with the daily MA7 > MA30 > MA120 in a continued bullish arrangement, and the DMI shows a clear upward trend (ADX=30.59). However, both the 4-hour and 15-minute levels show WR overbought + MACD bottom divergence, combined with the daily CCI=101.15 overbought, indicating a three-level overbought signal suggesting a short-term pullback pressure of 1-3%.
Key Levels:
First resistance $81,068 (24h high) → $81,500–$82,000 → $82,500 → $83,000–$86,000 (mid-term target)
First support $80,130 (24h low) → $80,000 (psychological + daily SAR critical line) → $77,211 (MA30) → $74,905 (MA120)
$80,000 is the current core defense line—daily SAR=$80,128 coincides with the psychological level. Holding this supports the continuation of the bullish trend; breaking below may test the MA30.
Fundamentals: BTC ETF has experienced net inflows for five consecutive weeks, totaling about $3.8 billion, with net asset value reaching a new high of $108.76 billion, indicating ongoing institutional support for the medium-term bull.
Trading Suggestions: The main strategy is to go long after a rebound and stabilization around $80,000–$80,130, with a stop loss below $79,500;
An auxiliary strategy is to short-term short when facing resistance at $81,500–$82,000 during a rally;
A conservative approach is to wait and observe for confirmation signals of the trend.