Jingyi's long-term layout: Short-term fluctuations do not change the overall long-term trend. Next week's pullback is a golden opportunity for positioning. Jingyi's long-term holdings have been pre-placed, waiting for the market to ignite!

Three core events, short-term disturbances, long-term safeguards

1. China-U.S. Summit (5.14): Short-term negative impact, long-term positive environment
Next week's China-U.S. summit may quickly exhaust short-term gains, driving U.S. stocks and Bitcoin to decline in sync. Wednesday is a turning point for short-term sentiment. But in the long run, easing trade tensions and reducing global uncertainty from the summit will open space for risk assets to rise, and the pullback is a long-term accumulation opportunity.
2. Federal Reserve Policy Chain (5.11-5.13): Hawkish pressure in the short term, rate cuts expected in the second half
Mid-May Fed chair voting, CPI, PPI, and minutes will be released intensively. Short-term hawkish expectations may suppress crypto prices. However, the high inflation trend is reversing, and rate cuts in the second half are highly certain. Liquidity easing expectations will eventually ferment, and the long-term bullish logic for Bitcoin remains intact.
3. Middle East geopolitical conflict: Short-term negative impact on inflation, long-term strengthening of safe-haven attributes
Ongoing Middle East conflicts push up oil prices and inflation expectations. In the short term, this suppresses Fed rate cuts and is bearish for Bitcoin. But Bitcoin, as "digital gold," shows its safe-haven value simultaneously. The longer the geopolitical turmoil lasts, the more capital will allocate long-term to Bitcoin for risk hedging, buffering short-term declines while solidifying the long-term bottom.
Long-term market outlook: Corrections are building strength, 70k is just a relay, new highs are still possible

Core trend: Bitcoin falling from 83k is a high-level shakeout during the bull market, not a trend reversal. The daily bullish structure remains intact, long-term holders' chips are stable, and institutional funds (ETFs) continue to flow in long-term.
Correction target: Next week's pullback should focus on strong support at 770, with extreme levels possibly reaching 740-750. 70k is the absolute bottom zone for the long term, with very low probability of breaking.
Future space: After a full correction stabilizing at 770-740-750, strong support at 70,000, the bulls will restart their attack. Breaking through the previous high of 83k and aiming for 88,000-90k is highly probable.
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