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Preview of Major Financial Events Next Week
May 11th (Monday)
07:15 Trump Speech
Focus on Middle East situation (follow-up to Strait of Hormuz conflict) and economic policy trends.
09:30 Swiss Retail Sales Year-over-Year
Monitor European consumer market resilience.
14:45 France Manufacturing PMI
A barometer of Eurozone economic recovery.
May 12th (Tuesday)
08:00 China CPI Year-over-Year (Core!)
Previous value 0.3%, if it remains below 0.1% or triggers deflation concerns, it will impact commodities and A-shares.
10:30 South Korea National Assembly Election
Results may influence technology industry policies (such as chip subsidies).
15:00 US Seasonally Adjusted CPI Year-over-Year (Major Impact!)
Previous value 3.5%, hotter-than-expected increase will suppress rate cut expectations, pressuring US stocks and cryptocurrencies.
May 13th (Wednesday)
06:45 US API Crude Oil Inventories
Amid tense Middle East situation, inventory fluctuations amplify oil price volatility.
11:00 France Services PMI Final
Monitoring of Eurozone economic "weak spot."
20:00 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (Major Event of the Year!)
First appearance after Powell’s appointment, hawkish signals (such as hinting at delaying rate cuts) could trigger market turbulence.
May 14th (Thursday)
07:50 Bank of England Rate Decision
Probability of rate hike rises to 40% amid stubborn inflation.
09:00 Germany CPI Final
Key validation of Europe’s inflation stubbornness.
21:30 ECB Deposit Rate Decision
22:30 US Senate Committee votes on the Clarity Act
Watch for signals of "preemptive rate cuts."
May 15th (Friday)
08:30 US Retail Sales ("Horrible Data")
Previous value exceeded expectations; if strong consecutively, it will reinforce the "no rate cut" logic.
14:00 US Crude Oil Rig Count
Geopolitical risks combined with supply and demand dynamics, sensitive period for oil prices.
22:00 China Total Social Electricity Consumption
An indicator of real economic activity.
⚡️ Special Reminder
Bitcoin Volatility Warning:
Fed policies (12-13) and US stock volatility are highly correlated; if CPI runs hot or Powell turns hawkish, Bitcoin may retest support at $75,000.
Geopolitical Hotspot:
Strait of Hormuz shipping activity (refer to Jin10 headlines on May 8-9) remains a black swan risk, safe-haven assets (gold, US Treasuries) may experience sudden pulses.
A-Share Related Points:
If China CPI (Tuesday) remains weak, watch whether policies signal "stabilizing expectations" (such as infrastructure or consumption stimulus).