The $80k Battle Begins! Tonight Could Decide the Crypto Market's Fate for the Second Half of the Year

The current market has entered a high-pressure mode.
Middle East conflicts, the Federal Reserve, and non-farm payroll data all hit at once, directly putting BTC on the hot seat.
Many people are now most concerned with:
"Can we still hold $80k?"
I believe the key depends on tonight's non-farm payroll report.
Because the current market logic is already very clear:
Weak data = increased expectations of rate cuts = bullish for BTC;
Strong data = sustained high interest rates = bearish for BTC.
But in the long run, I remain cautiously optimistic.
The reason is simple:
The global economic slowdown trend has not changed, and once economic pressure increases, the Fed may ultimately revert to an easing stance.
And every easing cycle brings huge liquidity to BTC.
So now it’s more like a battle between:
"Short-term panic" versus "long-term expectations."
As for whether the US-Iran situation will escalate further?
I think there will be continued tug-of-war, but the probability of a full-scale out-of-control situation is currently low. Because the US does not want oil prices to spiral out of control, and Iran does not want a full-scale war.
What the market truly fears is:
Prolonged conflict.
Because that would mean high oil prices, high inflation, and high interest rates all at once.
That would be the real nightmare for risk assets.