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Goldman Sachs has delayed its forecast for a quarter-point decrease in the Federal Reserve's rate. The bank now expects the first cut in December 2026, and the second in March 2027. Energy price transmission keeps the core PCE inflation closer to 3% of the Fed's 2% target, postponing timelines for any policy easing.
In April, non-farm payrolls totaled 115,000. Stable enough to ease pressure on the Fed from calls for action. As the labor market no longer raises concerns, the Fed's focus has fully shifted to controlling inflation.
"Currently, the Fed will focus on containing inflation risks as the labor market is back on track," said Lindsay Rosner of Goldman Sachs Asset Management. "The FOMC may feel the need to remove dovish bias from its June statement, indicating that hawks are gaining the upper hand."#BTCBackAbove80K