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Just been looking at the gold and silver charts, and honestly, it feels like everything's on pause waiting for the Fed. Gold is stuck around $4,710, can't seem to push past that $4,748 resistance. Silver's sitting at $75.69, similar story - just bumping against $76.41 and getting rejected.
What's interesting though is both metals have been making higher lows the past few weeks. That's actually a bullish setup, even if it doesn't feel like it right now. The real catalyst? Fed rate cuts coming in Q3. Historically, when rates drop, gold and silver have gone crazy - we're talking 30-50% moves in gold, sometimes 50-100%+ in silver.
Looking at the technicals, gold's RSI is at 44.86 - neutral territory. If it breaks above $4,750, I'd expect a push toward $4,900, maybe even $5,100 if the Fed signals more cuts ahead. Silver price could be even more explosive with its higher volatility. Break $76.50 and we could see a run to $80, then $85-$90.
The bearish case is obvious too - if inflation stays sticky or the Fed holds steady, gold drops below $4,600, silver pressure increases. But the setup feels coiled right now.
Most likely scenario? Gradual grind higher. Gold probably hits $4,750 by Q4 and inches toward $4,900 - that's maybe 5-10% upside. Silver price could see 15-20% if things play out bullishly.
Both are just sitting there, waiting. The Fed's got the trigger. Next few months will be crucial.