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My intraday long plan for BTC
Market Review
Current Bitcoin price: 80,324.7 USDT, 24h increase: +0.91%. Technical indicators show a bullish daily alignment (MA7 > MA30 > MA120), ADX at 30 indicates an ongoing upward trend but with moderate strength. However, on the daily chart, there is MACD bearish divergence (price hitting new highs but DIF not confirming), CCI overbought at 100. On the news front, sentiment is somewhat positive: Strategy holds 818,334 BTC with an unrealized profit of about $3.9 billion, Morgan Stanley continues to increase holdings, and April BTC ETF net inflows reached $1.97 billion — institutional funds are still entering. Community discussions mention that if the price cannot hold above 80,600, a correction to 77,000-78,000 may occur. The Fear & Greed Index (VIX) is at 38, indicating cautious sentiment.
Entry Strategy: Build positions in two batches
Batch 1 — Entry zone 80,100-80,200, recommended position size 40%
The 15-minute MA120 (80,182) and daily MA7 (80,192) form a double support. A rebound and stabilization here can allow for a light entry. Preconditions for entry: when the price retraces to support levels and shows stabilization signals (such as 15-minute bullish candles, MACD histogram turning positive), do not place orders during sharp declines; wait for a confirmed bottom before entering.
Batch 2 — Entry zone 79,500-79,600, recommended position size 60%
Near the 24h low of 79,548, if a deep correction reaches this level, it provides a stronger support for adding positions. Again, wait for a confirmation of a bottom before entering to avoid catching falling knives in panic sell-offs.
Take-profit targets: Laddered partial exits
Target 1 — 80,650: Near the 24h high, the first short-term resistance. Reduce 30% of the position upon reaching this level to lock in some profits.
Target 2 — 81,300: The key daily close level mentioned in community discussions; a break above indicates trend continuation. Reduce another 40% upon reaching this level.
Target 3 — 84,000: The CME gap level, which may be touched if momentum continues. Pursue the remaining 30% or move the stop-loss accordingly.
Stop-loss setup
Hard stop-loss: 79,200 (below the 24h low of 79,548 by about 300 points, indicating support failure and requiring decisive exit)
Trailing stop-loss rule: After entering, if the price rises more than 500 points, move the stop-loss to entry price +100 points (break-even stop); after reaching target 1, move the remaining position’s stop-loss to 80,200 (near the entry point).