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Just noticed something interesting about Bitcoin's behavior around FOMC meetings. A crypto analyst dug into the data and found that BTC has sold off hard in the week after 8 out of the last 9 Fed decisions, averaging around an 11% drop each time. Pretty wild pattern when you think about it.
So here's the thing - the Fed just held rates steady at 3.50-3.75%, which was already priced in. But historically, that doesn't really matter for Bitcoin. Whether the Fed cuts, holds, or gets hawkish, BTC tends to take a hit in the days following the announcement. We saw this play out consistently from May 2025 through early 2026, with sell-offs hitting in September, October, December, and again in January and March.
Bitcoin was sitting around $80.4K after rallying 21% through April. If that 11% post-FOMC pattern holds, we could see it pull back toward $70K over the next week or so. The Fed's messaging about solid economic expansion but elevated inflation is keeping things uncertain - that kind of cautious environment usually weighs on risk assets like crypto. Worth watching how this plays out.