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Weekend Direction: Exercise caution before going long. Overall, the market is in a consolidation and buildup phase ahead of a crucial breakout. In the medium to long term, large capital inflows, MACD bullish momentum, and price holding above key moving averages and support levels all support a bullish bias. However, in the short term, the upper Bollinger Band faces pressure, the KDJ adjustment signal is active, and previous high resistance is nearby—so directly chasing longs carries higher risk.
Entry timing:
1. Aggressive strategy: When the price retraces to 80094-80198 (the zone where S1 support overlaps with the MA20) and a reversal candlestick forms (e.g., pin bar, bullish engulfing), you may enter with a small position.
2. Conservative strategy: Wait for the price to break out with significant volume (a clear increase in trading volume) above 80651.83 (R1 resistance) and then, after it holds, enter on a pullback confirmation.
Stop-loss setting: 3%. Based on ATR (269.77) and key support levels, the stop loss should be set about 3% below the entry price. If you enter near 80094, the stop loss can be set at 77700 (roughly below S3 support). If you enter after the breakout, set the stop loss below the low of the breakout candlestick.
Target prices: The first target looks toward 81209 (R3 resistance), with a potential return of about 1.4%-1.5%. The second target can extend to the 82000-82500 range (the previous high and psychological level), with a potential return of about 2.5%-3%. If you aim for a 5%-10% return, the current consolidation structure does not offer enough room; you need to wait for clearer trend-start signals. Otherwise, it is recommended to use a small position or hold part of the position and observe.