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#MayTokenUnlockWave With a staggering $639 million+ scheduled for release, the market is bracing for a "liquidity stress test" that could define trading sentiment for the second quarter of the year.
Below is a summarized analysis of the key players, the structural risks, and the strategic outlook for this period.
📊 Major Token Unlocks: The Heavy Hitters
The impact of an unlock is usually determined by two factors: Total Dollar Value (absolute pressure) and Percentage of Circulating Supply (relative dilution).Project Unlock Value Type / Date Market Impact Weight
RAIN $397.51M Large Cliff Extreme (60%+ of total wave)
HYPE $416.01M Cliff (May 4–11) High (Plus $96.8M weekly flow)
ASTER $79.9M Overlapping Cliff Moderate (High mid-cap sensitivity)
KITE $57.6M May 1 Sentiment Lead (Sets the tone)
SUI $49.5M Institutional Low/Moderate (High liquidity L1)
Capx AI Small $ 9.65% Supply High🔍 Key Market Dynamics
1. The "Cliff" vs. "Linear" Distinction
Cliff Unlocks (RAIN, HYPE): These represent "shocks." Since a massive volume hits the market at a single moment, they often trigger 10%–30% volatility spikes.