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#Gate广场五月交易分享 Weekly Gold Market Summary
This week, international gold prices fluctuated and trended upward, breaking above the key level of $4,700 per ounce, as the market rose amid a tug-of-war between geopolitical conflicts and expectations of Fed interest-rate cuts.
Early in the week faced pressure and pulled back: On May 4, international gold saw a one-day plunge of more than $90, driven by the intensification of the Middle East situation, a surge in oil prices, and a stronger U.S. dollar. New York gold futures briefly fell below $4,548 per ounce, while spot gold dropped to $4,537.8 per ounce, and market risk-averse sentiment temporarily shifted toward the U.S. dollar and energy assets.
Stabilization and rebound in mid-month: As the Iran-U.S. conflict did not further escalate, the market began to price in the logic of “geopolitical easing—oil price pullback—rate cut expectations heating up,” and gold rebounded from its lows. On May 6, New York gold futures recovered to above $4,600 per ounce, with a gain of 0.71%.
Strong upside breakout after non-farm payrolls: On May 8, the U.S. released non-farm payroll data. Although the number of employed people exceeded expectations, slower wage growth helped ease concerns about inflation. Along with ongoing central bank gold purchases, spot gold broke through $4,700 per ounce, and COMEX gold futures closed at $4,723.70 per ounce.
Central bank demand as the core support: China’s central bank has increased its gold holdings for 18 consecutive months. In April, it added 8.1 tons, with the pace of gold buying reaching the fastest level since December 2024. The global “gold rush” by central banks continues to provide bottom support for gold prices.
Technical analysis enters a critical range: Current gold prices are trading in the $4,700–$4,744 range. If it breaks above $4,744, it could open further upside room. Near-term support is at $4,685; if it falls below that level, it may retest $4,600.
Core takeaway for the week: Gold has shifted from being “data-driven” to being driven by both “expectations and positioning.” Geopolitical risk, central bank gold buying, and rate cut expectations together are forming a strong pattern, and in the short term, gold may continue to trade with an oscillating but slightly bullish bias.
## This Week’s Gold Market Summary
This week, international gold prices fluctuated and moved higher, breaking above the key level of $4,700 per ounce. The market rose amid a standoff between geopolitical conflict and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts.
**Early-Week Pressure and Pullback:** On May 4, as Middle East tensions escalated, oil prices surged, and the U.S. dollar strengthened, international gold prices plunged by more than $90 in a single day. New York gold futures briefly fell below $4,548 per ounce, and spot gold dropped to $4,537.8. Risk-off sentiment temporarily shifted toward the U.S. dollar and energy assets.
**Mid-Week Stabilization and Rebound:** As the conflict between Iran and the U.S. did not further escalate, the market began pricing in the logic of “geopolitical easing—oil price decline—rate cut expectations strengthening.” Gold rebounded from its lows. On May 6, New York gold futures recovered to above $4,600, with a gain of 0.71%.
**Strong Breakthrough After Non-Farm Payrolls:** On May 8, the U.S. released its non-farm payroll data. Although employment growth came in above expectations, slowing wage growth eased concerns about inflation. Combined with ongoing central bank gold purchases, spot gold broke through $4,700 per ounce. COMEX gold futures closed at $4,723.70 per ounce.
**Central Bank Demand as the Main Support:** The People’s Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 18 consecutive months. In April, it added 8.1 tons—its fastest pace since December 2024. The global central bank “gold-buying rush” continues to provide bottom support for gold prices.
**Technical Picture Enters a Critical Range:** Gold is currently trading within the $4,700–$4,744 range. If it breaks above $4,744, it will open up upside room. Short-term support is at $4,685; if it falls below that level, it may retest $4,600.
**Core Conclusion for the Week:** Gold has shifted from being “data-driven” to being driven by both “expectations and positioning/allocation.” Geopolitical risk, central bank gold purchases, and rate cut expectations together build a strong setup. In the short term, it may continue with a consolidation-to-firm trend.