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Why are Americans still working crazily? The 115k non-farm jobs surprised the market
The whole world thought the US economy was about to tire out.
But then Americans suddenly said:
"We can keep going."
In April, 115k new non-farm jobs were added, far exceeding the expected 70k.
Once the news broke, the market's first reaction wasn't happiness.
It was:
"Done for, maybe rate cuts are further away again."
Now the financial markets have entered a bizarre state.
The US economy is too weak, and everyone is afraid.
The US economy is too strong, and everyone is even more afraid.
Because everyone is hoping the Federal Reserve will cut rates to save the market.
But then employment data suddenly proves:
American workers haven't gone down quietly.
Many people don't realize that the truly terrifying part of the US economy isn't technology.
It's employment flexibility.
Layoffs?
Yes.
But the US service industry is still hiring like crazy.
Restaurants, healthcare, logistics, tourism—all are short-staffed.
So a strange phenomenon has appeared in the US:
AI is taking programmers' jobs.
But coffee shops are still hiring.
The job market is like a leaking pipe.
Jobs are lost on one side, but filled again on the other.
The Federal Reserve's biggest headache right now is this too.
They originally wanted to cool the economy with high interest rates.
But US consumers simply don't listen.
Wages keep coming in, and they keep spending.
Credit cards keep being swiped.
It seems like a single sentence describes the entire US economy:
"As long as people can still consume, the economy can keep alive."
That's also why the US economy is more resilient than expected.
Other countries' residents save first.
US residents spend first.
So global economists predict a US recession every year.
US consumers keep ordering takeout every year.
The funniest thing is Wall Street.
In the past, bad data was called good news.
Now, good data is called danger.
Because everyone is increasingly aware:
The real key to the market isn't the economy.
It's interest rates.
If employment is too strong, the Fed has no reason to rush rate cuts.
And in a high-interest-rate era, capital markets are always like they're under a ceiling.
So, the real scary part of this non-farm data isn't the numbers.
It's what it tells the market:
The US economy might be more resilient than everyone thought.
And what Wall Street fears most is precisely this kind of "can endure."#WCTC交易王PK