In about 1-2 months, once the monthly chart rebounds and starts to rise, the weekly MACD will return to the zero axis, and the 3-day moving average will turn strong. Then, a sustained multi-month large upward trend will begin, with daily gains making you feel like you're on a drug. At that point, you still can't get rich quickly, and if you operate in the opposite direction, the more it rises, the more bearish you become. If that's the case, you're not suitable for the crypto market.

Previously, during the alternating bear and bull phases of 2022 and 2023, BTC prices only ranged from 25,000 to 42,000 USD. Why was I basically free? After the Bitcoin halving in April 2024 and entering a bull market, I didn't really trade much. In 2022, the bottom was clearly identified, and I seized the opportunity to leverage 20x on a Bitcoin-based long position from the bottom at 17,000. If you had bought the dip at 17,000, two or three months later, you'd still be worried about it dropping to 12,000 or 8,000 and couldn't let go, hesitating and shrinking back. If you only shorted when it rose a bit, your overall strategy would prevent you from making quick profits, wasting the entire bottom opportunity. When the market finally recognizes a complete trend reversal to a bull, and you realize you should chase longs, it’s already too late. Especially after BTC surpasses 100,000 USD, volatility increases. Sometimes, it can rise five days in a row by 15,000 points in a week, then on the sixth day, suddenly drop 8,000 to 12,000 points. Such short-term trading can be very profitable, but you might not be able to hold on, and the risks are higher. Therefore, the alternating bear and bull phases before each bull market, and the small bull cycles, are the most stable and easiest to profit from, with relatively moderate fluctuations and less extreme ups and downs.