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Overview of US-Iran conflict developments: Iran is about to respond to the agreement proposal, and Trump says he may resume the "Freedom Plan" operation
BlockBeats News, May 9 — Currently, the US-Iran conflict is focused on Iran’s response to the proposed agreement plan from the United States, which is expected to be communicated to the US within 12 hours. Trump has also threatened to resume the “Freedom of Navigation” operations aimed at guiding stranded ships through the Strait of Hormuz, along with other measures. The latest developments in the US-Iran conflict are summarized as follows:
Ceasefire Negotiations and the Strait of Hormuz:
Iran Media: Iran states it is still reviewing the US proposal to end the war.
US Secretary of State: We should receive Iran’s response today (8th). Hope for serious negotiations between the US and Iran.
Currently, over 70 oil tankers are blocked from entering or leaving Iranian ports.
No large commercial ships have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in the past 24 hours.
Iran Media: Iran is formulating a plan for a “Legal Regime” of the Strait of Hormuz, which will become permanent law.
US Side:
Trump says he may resume the “Freedom of Navigation” operations.
The US military reports firing on two Iranian oil tankers, causing them to lose their navigability.
Vance met with the Qatari Prime Minister to discuss negotiations with Iran.
The US says it will facilitate talks between Israel and Lebanon.
Iran Side:
Iranian commercial ships were attacked by US forces, with 10 people injured and 5 missing.
Iran’s Foreign Ministry strongly condemns the US military attack on Iranian oil tankers.
Maritime intelligence reports that 3 Iranian oil tankers have broken through US blockades.
Iranian armed forces have had “sporadic clashes” with US warships in the waters of the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s Foreign Minister: Iran’s current missile stockpile and launch capacity have increased by 20% since February 28.
Iran’s Foreign Ministry: Armed forces are fully prepared to retaliate against any invasion.
Monitoring agencies state that US and Israeli airstrikes have delayed Iran’s nuclear program by up to two years.
Iran Media: Senior Iranian lawmakers say that from now on, US maritime blockade measures will be met with military responses from Iran.
Satellite images show suspected large-scale oil leaks near Khark Island, Iran. Iranian lawmakers claim the oil pollution near Khark Island is actually discharges from European oil tankers.
Supreme Leader’s Advisor Mohubber: The UAE has been punished and will face harsher punishments. Countries once seen as safe havens for investment are now facing capital flight.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of “US and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement” before May 15 is 18%, rising to 36% before May 31.