BTC, gold, crude oil all going crazy! Tonight's non-farm payroll report could trigger a real big move

Recently, the global markets have entered a strange state:
Bad news is increasing, but everyone no longer knows which to fear first.
After the US confirmed intercepting an Iranian attack, tensions in the Middle East have risen again.
The risk in the Strait of Hormuz has increased, and the global energy markets are starting to stir.
Oil prices are highly volatile, gold is strengthening, and BTC has fallen below $80k.
Many people feel that BTC is not enough as a "hedge."
Actually, this is quite normal.
In true panic, funds prioritize the US dollar and gold.
BTC currently resembles more of a "high-volatility growth asset."
So once market risk appetite declines, it usually takes the hit first.
But tonight, the real key depends on the non-farm payroll report.
Because right now, the core of all market movements is just one sentence:
"When will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates?"
If non-farm payroll continues to be strong, it indicates the US economy is still hot, and the probability of the Fed maintaining high interest rates will increase.
BTC may continue to face short-term pressure.
But if the data weakens, the market will quickly restart the rate cut trading.
At that point, risk assets are likely to rebound collectively.
So tonight, a classic scenario is highly probable:
Before the data release, everyone analyzes macroeconomics;
After the data release, everyone begins emotional trading.
And BTC will continue to play that role:
24/7, always the first to get hit, but also the most vigorous rebounder in the "financial nightclub."#美伊冲突再升级