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U.S. consumer confidence falls to a historic low as gasoline prices and living costs continue to weigh on households
📉 Preliminary U.S. consumer sentiment for May fell to 48.2, the lowest level since the survey began in 1952. Although the decline from the previous month was only 3.2%, the break to a new historic low shows that household sentiment remains extremely weak.
⛽ The biggest pressure comes from the sharp rise in gasoline prices, with the national average reaching $4.54 per gallon. Fuel costs are highly visible in daily life, making consumers feel the pressure more directly and dragging the assessment of current conditions lower.
📊 The Current Conditions Index dropped 9% to 47.8, showing that real pressure on household budgets is heavier than longer-term expectations. The Expectations Index edged up to 48.5, but it remains deeply depressed and is not enough to change the broader picture.
⚠️ One-year inflation expectations at 4.5% and five-year expectations at 3.4% remain important signals. If energy prices stay elevated, the Fed may find it harder to ease policy soon, while prolonged weakness in consumption could add more risk to U.S. growth in Q2–Q3.
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