Just caught Snowflake's latest earnings and honestly, there's not much melting happening here. The stock is down over 20% year to date, but the company itself? Still firing on all cylinders.



Let me break down what caught my attention. Q4 revenue hit $1.28 billion, up 30% year over year. That's the kind of growth most SaaS companies would kill for right now. Product revenue specifically climbed to $1.23 billion, also 30% growth. Even the bottom line is holding steady - adjusted EPS came in at $0.32 versus $0.30 last year, beating the $0.27 consensus.

What's really interesting is their net revenue retention rate sitting at 125% over the past 12 months. For those not tracking this metric, anything above 100% means existing customers are spending more even after accounting for churn. That's the definition of a moat.

The customer metrics show no signs of melting either. They added 740 new customers, up 40% year over year. More importantly, their high-value segment is expanding - 733 customers now spending over $1 million annually (up 27%), and they've got 56 customers each spending more than $10 million. They even landed a $400 million deal this quarter, their largest ever.

For the full year, management is guiding product revenue to roughly $5.66 billion, representing 27% growth. That's not conservative, that's confident. Q1 specifically, they're projecting $1.262 to $1.267 billion in product revenue with 9% adjusted operating margins.

Now here's where it gets nuanced. The stock's valuation hasn't completely melted away like other SaaS names. Trading at 10x forward price-to-sales is reasonable for a company growing 27-30%, but it's not exactly a screaming bargain either. Most of the sector got beaten down much harder.

The AI narrative around Snowflake is legitimate too. With over 2,500 accounts now using Snowflake Intelligence and their Cortex Code agent gaining traction, they're positioning themselves right where data infrastructure meets AI. That's not hype, that's structural.

The real question isn't whether Snowflake is a quality business - it clearly is. The question is whether the current valuation leaves room for meaningful upside in the near term. You're paying for quality and growth, but you're not getting it at a discount. Could be worth watching for a better entry point, or if you believe in the AI data warehouse thesis long-term, the current price might look cheap in a few years. Either way, this company shows no signs of melting under pressure.
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