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The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June has dropped to 94.9%.
Mars Finance News, according to Jintiao reports, CME “Federal Reserve Watch” shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged by June is 94.9% (before announcement 96.9%), with a 5.1% chance of a 25 basis point cut (before announcement 3.1%). By July, the probability of holding rates steady is 88.8% (before announcement 90.7%), with a 10.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut (before announcement 9.1%), and a 0.4% chance of a 50 basis point cut (before announcement 0.2%).