$2.59 TON, do you want to chase?

The founder personally stepped in, Telegram became the largest validator, network fees were cut by 6 times all at once, surging over 100% in 7 days——but just now, the price fell back 5% from the high of $2.8, and on May 24th, $100 million worth of tokens will be unlocked.

First look at the surface: good news one after another, the price soars.

In the past 7 days, it increased over 100%, from $1.35 in early May directly to $2.8, hitting a 4-month high. 24-hour trading volume exploded to $1.5-2 billion, market enthusiasm is off the charts. The candlestick chart shows: volume breakout above the $1.6 range, MA bullish alignment, MACD histogram continues to expand: bullish return, quickly back to normal.

First thing: Telegram officially goes all-in on TON.

On May 4th, founder Durov personally announced: Telegram will replace TON Foundation as the main network developer and become the largest validator, with about 2.2 million TON staked.

At the same time, network fees were cut by 6 times all at once, single transaction fee dropped to $0.0005. After Catchain 2.0 upgrade, block time was compressed from 2.5 seconds to 400 milliseconds, throughput increased tenfold.

Second thing: fundamentals shift from “concept” to “reality.”

Previously, TON was criticized as “just hyping Telegram,” now Telegram Wallet transaction volume exceeds $1 billion, and Mini Apps like Notcoin, DOGS, etc., continue to explode. One-click login + on-chain payments + social distribution, user threshold nearly zero.

Third thing: a technical signal that must be watched carefully appears.

After continuous surge, the price fell back 5% from the high of $2.8, profit-taking begins. On May 24th, another $103 million worth of tokens will be unlocked——if $100 million floods in and there isn’t enough buy support, can the price hold?

One side:

Telegram official personally steps in, becomes the largest validator

Network fees cut by 6 times, performance improved tenfold

Exclusive infrastructure for Mini Apps with 950 million users

7 days up 100%, volume and price rise together, technical breakthroughs

The other side:

After continuous surge, a 5% correction, profit takers start to run

On May 24th, $100 million token unlock, selling pressure hits

If no new catalysts after the news, it may be “all the good news has been priced in”

If BTC pulls back, TON will find it hard to stand alone

Key level at $2.59, only 0.2 away from critical support.

Resistance above: $2.80–$3.00 (psychological level) → $3.41–$4.00 (next target)

Support below: $2.40–$2.50 → $2.20–$2.00 (breakout + strong bottom)

Short-term traders:

Wait for a pullback to $2.40–$2.50 before entering, stop-loss at $2.25 (sell if broken), first target $2.80–$3.00. Don’t chase high; if you buy at this level and it pulls back 5%, you won’t be able to hold the cut.

Swing traders:

Build positions gradually in the $2.20–$2.40 range, stop-loss below $2.00, target $3.5–$4.5. If there’s a big drop before or after the May 24th unlock, it’s actually a chance to add.

Long-term believers:

TON’s core logic isn’t price, it’s users. 950 million Telegram monthly active users, even if only 5% convert to on-chain users, that’s nearly 50 million new market participants. What’s the target by the end of 2026? $4–$6 is a conservative estimate. But remember—after the news lands, a pullback is a thousand times more comfortable than chasing the top.

TON now is like SOL in 2024——

People who don’t understand think “relying on parents isn’t reliable,” those who understand are quietly adding chips below $2.5.

The day $3 breaks through, you’ll realize: it’s not that TON isn’t good, it’s that you always chase at the top. #BTC回调 $BTC $ETH $TON