Been looking at Alphabet's recent earnings and there's actually a lot worth paying attention to here. The stock's up over 68% in the past year, which is solid, but the real story isn't just about the rally—it's about what's actually driving it.



First thing that stands out is how Alphabet finally put to rest the whole 'AI chatbots will kill Google Search' narrative. Q3 2025 search revenue hit $56.6 billion, up nearly 15% year-over-year. That's not slowing down—it's accelerating. Their AI Overviews and AI Mode features are actually making search more engaging, especially with younger users. AI Mode alone has over 75 million daily active users across 40 languages. That's real traction, not just hype.

The Gemini play is also interesting. Alphabet's monetizing these LLMs at scale now. They're embedded in Workspace and Cloud, but here's the kicker—Apple just signed a multiyear deal to integrate Gemini into Siri, launching late 2026. That's a new revenue stream from 2 billion+ Apple devices. Not insignificant.

Google Cloud is probably the most underrated part of the story. 34% YoY growth to $15.2B in Q3, with backlog hitting $155B. Morgan Stanley's projecting $58B revenue for 2025, with potential 44-50% growth in 2026 if enterprise deals keep accelerating. That's genuine enterprise momentum.

YouTube's also quietly dominant—first time as NFL broadcaster with 19M+ viewers in September 2025, plus they locked in a major BBC content partnership. Between ads and subscriptions, it's a solid revenue engine with real competitive moat.

Now, the risks are real. Antitrust lawsuit from January 2026 is still hanging over them. Alphabet's capex is massive—$91-93B in 2025, potentially higher in 2026 for data center buildout. If AI monetization doesn't keep pace with these investments, free cash flow could get squeezed.

Valuation-wise, trading at 30x forward earnings is steep. But given what's happening across search, cloud, and video, it doesn't feel unjustified anymore. The business fundamentals are actually strengthening.

So is Alphabet a buy? It's not a screaming entry point, but the growth trajectory across multiple segments is legit. If you're looking at tech exposure and want something with real revenue visibility and enterprise traction, worth keeping on your radar. The earnings story here is more nuanced than the stock price suggests.
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