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Just caught Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang dropping something pretty important about where AI is headed, and honestly it reframes a lot of what's been happening in the market lately.
So Huang's saying we've hit the inflection point for agentic AI - basically AI systems that can operate on their own and handle complex tasks. And here's the interesting part: he thinks the market's gotten this completely backwards when it comes to software stocks.
Everyone's been panicking that AI agents will just build new software from scratch, making SaaS companies obsolete. But Huang's take is different. He reckons agentic AI will mostly end up using existing software tools on behalf of users - not replacing them. Think of it as AI becoming a power user of your current tools rather than a toolmaker that kills demand.
This actually makes sense if you think about it. Instead of agents creating everything from zero, they'd leverage what's already out there, which means demand for those platforms could actually increase. And software companies themselves can use AI to build better products.
Context: Nvidia just posted Q4 numbers with $1.62 adjusted EPS on $68.13 billion in sales - beat expectations again. The stock's actually pulled back since then, and it's dragged down a bunch of software plays with it. SaaS has taken a brutal hit this year, with companies like Salesforce, Workday, ServiceNow, Adobe, and IBM all getting hammered. Market cap in software's down roughly $1.6 trillion since the start of the year.
If Huang's reading is right about the inflection point we're at, this could be a setup for software valuations to bounce back. That said, disruption is real in some areas, so it's not a free pass for every software stock. The ones worth watching are probably the versatile players with strong competitive moats.
Either way, this commentary from someone with Huang's vantage point on AI development is worth taking seriously when thinking about where the market's headed next.