I'm now checking whether a project is "reliable or not," and I don't focus on candlestick charts as much... First, I look at GitHub to see if there are real updates, not just blank commit records; then I glance at the audit reports, the key isn't whether it "passes or not," but whether they've clearly written what was found and what was changed, not just boilerplate language. Also, regarding multi-signature upgrades, even beginners can get a rough idea: how many people sign, what the threshold is, whether the signers are all from the same group (in other words, don't keep all the keys in one person's hands).

Recently, large on-chain transfers and movements of hot and cold wallets on exchanges are often seen as "smart money," I do look at that, but more as a temperature gauge of market sentiment—don't get too caught up. I trust data more; at least it won't change its tune just because I get nervous. As for intuition... when the market turns green, I want to pull out, it's too unstable.