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Been watching this situation unfold and honestly, the market might be overreacting to Microsoft right now.
So here's what's happening. Microsoft owns 27% of OpenAI and they're deeply invested in the partnership, but the AI darling has been burning cash like crazy. OpenAI's spending billions to stay competitive against players like Anthropic and Alphabet, which has spooked investors. The real concern? Azure's order backlog is apparently 45% dependent on OpenAI. If that company stumbles, Microsoft's cloud business takes a hit.
But here's the thing people seem to be missing. Microsoft just posted solid numbers. Their cloud business grew 26% year-over-year to hit $51.5 billion. That's a massive number for a company this size. Commercial backlog jumped 110% to $625 billion. Even with OpenAI drama, the underlying business is firing on all cylinders.
Now for the valuation angle. After dropping more than 20% from its highs, Microsoft is trading at 25x earnings. That's the cheapest it's been since late 2022, before AI really became the story everyone cares about. Analysts are projecting 14-15% annual earnings growth over the next few years. If Microsoft executes even close to that, the stock should perform well from these levels.
I get why people are nervous about OpenAI's financial runway and competitive pressures. But stepping back, Microsoft has massive entrenched products, enterprise relationships, and recurring revenue streams that go way beyond any single partnership. OpenAI is raising $100 billion anyway, which should ease near-term concerns. ChatGPT is still the leading AI app, and they're launching enterprise tools like Frontier that open up new revenue channels.
The reality is that best stocks to buy now often look scary in the short term. This feels like one of those moments where the best stocks to buy now are the ones everyone's worried about. OpenAI's a risk worth monitoring, sure, but it's way too early to panic. Microsoft's probably the best stocks to buy now in the AI space if you're looking at a multi-year horizon and can handle some volatility. The stock will likely bounce back once confidence in OpenAI stabilizes. Might be worth grabbing shares before that sentiment shift happens.