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As a seasoned “pseudo-football fan,” Little God of Wealth also wants to predict who will win the 2026 World Cup. I believe the title should go to France. My reasoning is as follows:

‌1. Historical performance and stability in major tournaments‌

France’s performance in the last three World Cups has been dominant: champions in 2018, runners-up in 2022—reaching the final in two consecutive editions. As the defending runners-up, their experience in major tournaments, ability to handle pressure, and stability in knockout matches far surpass those of other teams. In nearly 40 years of World Cup knockout history, they have suffered only 1 defeat within 90 minutes (from 1986 to the present).

‌2. A peak lineup and terrifying depth‌

Core players in their golden period‌: Mbappé (27 years old) is in the prime of his career. He has scored 12 World Cup goals (just 4 short of the all-time record). His hat-trick in the 2022 final showed his ability to rise to the occasion on the biggest stage. Chouaméni (26 years old), Saliba (24 years old), and other key midfield and backline starters are all in their mature years.

‌ Unmatched squad depth‌: The team’s total squad value is about 870 million euros. The bench includes top-level starters from major clubs such as Camavinga, Dembélé, and Konaté. Their strength is comparable to the starting lineups of most national teams, and under a packed match schedule, the advantage is especially clear.

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3. A mature and efficient tactical system‌

Deschamps’ coaching system focuses on quick counterattacks as the core, combined with high-intensity physical duels—making the team’s balance between attack and defense excellent. The team can also control possession to suppress opponents, or instantly tear the back line apart with Mbappé’s pace. This is evidenced by the fact that, in the 2022 knockout stage, they averaged 2.3 goals per game.

‌4. A favorable schedule and qualification path‌

As a seeded team, France’s qualification from the group stage is virtually beyond doubt (with limited threats from Norway and Senegal in the same group). In the knockout stage, their bracket avoids strong rivals such as Argentina and England. If they advance according to the predicted path, their biggest challenge before the semifinals’ four-team stage will be Brazil or the Netherlands—against both, they have the upper hand in historical head-to-head records.

‌5. Data models and professional institutions’ backing‌

A U.S. bank global research report shows: 40% of analysts predict France will win the tournament, and Mbappé is supported by nearly half of respondents to become the Golden Boot.

UK Quantum big data simulations: France defeats Spain in the final to lift the trophy. This model previously accurately predicted the top four in 2022.