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Steel Chess in the Gulf: How Long Can Iran Endure the Blockade?
The tension between the US and Iran has escalated to a new level with military moves and economic analyses. Here is a summary of the critical developments in the region:
• CIA's "Time" Warning to Trump: According to CIA analysis, Iran can resist the US naval blockade for at least 3-4 months without experiencing economic devastation. This contradicts Trump’s expectation of a "rapid collapse."
• Hot Contact Begins: The US carried out airstrikes in Iran’s Kish Island and Bander Abbas regions; air defense systems in Tehran have been activated.
• Massive Arms Approval: US Secretary of State Marco Rubio approved a massive arms sale totaling $25.8 billion to regional allies (Israel, UAE, Kuwait, etc.).
• Europe Takes Action: The French flagship Charles de Gaulle has been deployed to the Red Sea to protect freedom of navigation.
• Regional Alliances Tighten: The UAE announced that for the first time in its history, Egyptian fighter jets are stationed on its territory and established an international committee to hold Iran accountable for the attacks.
• Trump’s "Collapse" Claim: Trump continues to describe the blockade as a "steel wall," asserting that Iran’s economy is finished and the army cannot pay salaries.