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Tonight's Major April Non-Farm Payroll Data
March non-farm employment increased by 178k, with April expectations halved to 50,000–60k, and the unemployment rate is expected to be 4.3%.
Although employment is cooling, inflation remains unstable, and employment still shows resilience; the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates based on a single month's data.
Three major market scenario scripts:
Significant surprise drop < 40k: US dollar weakens, gold, Nasdaq, and BTC all rally
Stable/Strengthening: US dollar and US bonds rebound, high-valuation assets pull back
Weakening but wages remain strong: Volatility between bulls and bears, unclear direction
Non-farm payroll night is highly volatile; heavy positions are strictly prohibited, wait patiently for the data to land.
Start positioning now, those who are optimistic, come in. $BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币跌破8万美元 #美伊冲突再升级