Big news tonight! April Non-Farm Payrolls data is about to be released

In March, non-farm employment rose by 178k, with expectations for April directly halving to 50,000–60k, a steep plunge, while the unemployment rate remains steady at 4.3%.

Don’t be fooled by the clear slowdown in employment; the Federal Reserve still dares not easily cut rates.

Inflation fundamentals are unstable, and employment resilience remains, so the Fed only recognizes continued weakening and does not buy into short-term data.

Three possible market scenarios in advance:
✅ Data significantly surprises and falls below 40k: USD weakens, gold, Nasdaq, and BTC all rally;
✅ Data remains flat or slightly strong: USD and US bonds strongly rebound, high-valuation assets face pressure and pull back;
✅ Employment weakens but wages remain strong: market seesawing, oscillation and divergence, unclear direction.

Non-farm payroll night is highly unpredictable; avoid heavy bets on 🚫. Jing Yi has already prepared in advance, waiting quietly for the data to land #Gate广场五月交易分享 .