Don't be fooled by the US-Iran "peace talks"!


There is currently no intention to negotiate comprehensive peace, just a transitional memorandum, pushing all the sharp issues further back, purely a delaying tactic.

The market also makes it clear: the probability of achieving permanent peace before May 15th is only 34%, and only 59% if pushed to the end of June. The so-called "situation easing" is just a temporary ceasefire; geopolitical risks have not disappeared at all. Don't blindly buy into the news to hedge risks, be careful of being caught off guard and exploited.
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