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Recently, I’ve seen a bunch of people watching "whale addresses" and preparing to follow trades. I really want to advise: first, think carefully whether they are building a position or hedging/moving positions. A large transfer in might be to open a position, or it could just be transferring spot assets as collateral for futures, or even splitting addresses for risk control. If you follow along, you’ll just turn it into an emotional trade.
And now, those on-chain data tools and tagging systems are, frankly, somewhat lagging, and can be packaged to look very much like “certainty,” like waiting for a bus or listening to a passerby giving directions… My own approach is very simple: look at multiple related trades before and after, wait for confirmation before acting. I’d rather miss out than jump the queue. Anyway, trading less frequently keeps my mindset more stable.