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📰 【With it unlikely that the Fed will cut rates again this year, the bigger the divergence in views on rates, the longer rates will stay unchanged—the Federal Reserve has entered a policy pause period】
BlockBeats reports that on May 8, in the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, the greater the disagreement, the more it often leans toward keeping rates unchanged for longer. At the recent April 2026 FOMC meeting, the Fed recorded its biggest split since 1992 with an 8-4 vote, deciding to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 3.5%-3.75% unchanged, marking the third consecutive hold. One official supported an immediate 25 basis point cut, while the other three agreed to maintain rates but kept a dovish tilt in their dissent statements. There are deep divisions within the Fed regarding inflation risks, the labor market, and the level of the neutral interest rate. When Fed members’ assessments of the economic outlook diverge more widely, the difficulty of reaching consensus on rate adjustments also increases.
Powell, that old troublemaker, is playing word games again. An 8-4 split hitting a 32-year high? Put simply, it means inflation can’t be held down, and employment data still needs to wait. A rate pause is basically telling the market: don’t expect me to bail you out. The liquidity window of $BTC is tightening—don’t treat macro narratives as faith; data is what matters. 👇👇👇👇👇