#比特币站稳8万关口

#Gate广场五月交易分享 On May 7th, Bitcoin's current rebound from around 60k to 83k, nearly 40%, is a technical correction within a bear market, not a trend reversal; the current range of 82.5k to 84k is close to the top, and subsequent movements are likely to oscillate downward and break previous lows, with the final drop in the bear market completing before a true reversal occurs. The following detailed analysis covers four aspects: core logic, technical basis, historical analogy, and trading suggestions:
1. Core judgment: Bear market rebound, not the start of a bull market

1. The long-term stance remains unchanged: Although this rebound is strong (60k → 83k, nearly 40% increase), it is defined as a healthy technical correction within a bear market, not the beginning of a main upward wave.

2. Lack of major volume surge signals: The market is gradually rising with consolidation, without short-term large bullish candles or obvious continuous inflow of major funds, which does not meet the characteristics of a main upward wave.

3. Market sentiment features: Short squeeze and shakeout: This is a typical bear market pattern of clearing out the short positions—consolidation and rising, continuously making new highs, forcing short sellers to stop-loss, causing long and short positions to fluctuate, ultimately inducing more buyers and turning the market bullish, consistent with the cyclical sentiment reversal at the end of a bear market.