The Market Maker Never Loses: Who Are the True Profiters in Prediction Markets


【Plain Language Guide】This article deeply exposes the brutal reality of prediction markets: although they have become popular as a "wealth side hustle" on social media, data shows this is not a fair game.
The vast majority of retail investors, even when their predictions are accurate, still lose due to late entry and price differences, totaling over $130 million. Profits are being plundered by automated bots through structural advantages and 1% of professional players. Additionally, there is serious wash trading and false activity in the market.
The SEC's urgent suspension of related ETFs is precisely to prevent this kind of structural risk where "retail predictions are correct but still result in losses."
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