$80,827 Bitcoin, are you still waiting for a crash?

I know how you feel right now. You open your account and see BTC drop from 82,300 to 80,800, RSI plunging directly from 82.9 to 36.6, Strategy might sell coins for dividends, whales cash out 200 million dollars in two days. Your palms sweat—are we going back to 70K again? Is this bull market over?

Don’t panic yet, let me show you three data points.

First: institutions bought $1 billion worth of BTC in two days.

Spot ETF net inflows over two trading days nearly $1 billion, total AUM hitting 109 billion, a new high this year. BlackRock alone is buying more BTC daily than six times the amount mined in a day by all miners.

Are you worried Strategy will sell? Strategy holds over 200,000 coins, even if they sell, it’s only a few hundred coins for dividends. Institutions buy thousands of coins daily—who’s absorbing your panic sell-off?

Second: the US government is about to reveal its “largest market maker” stance.

The White House will announce details of the “US Bitcoin Strategic Reserve” within weeks. The executive order signed by Trump is progressing, and the Clarity Act aims to pass by July 4.

What does this mean? The US is legislating to stockpile BTC as a strategic asset.

Third: RSI dropped from 82 to 36—that’s not a crash, it’s a shakeout.

In the past 24 hours, RSI plummeted from 82.9 to 36.6. 82 is extreme overbought, 36 is approaching oversold.

Same price, different sentiment. Last week, everyone FOMO’d chasing highs; today, everyone FUDs and sells. But has the fundamentals changed? No. Institutions are still buying, ETFs are still entering, and the US government is brewing big moves.

On one side:

ETF inflows of 1 billion in two days, AUM hitting a yearly high

US government about to announce BTC strategic reserve

Morgan Stanley to enter before year-end, pushing digital wallets

Exchange BTC balances at 7-year lows, supply drying up

On the other side:

Strategy might sell coins for dividends (small volume)

Two whales cash out 200 million dollars

RSI dropped from 82 to 36, short-term buying momentum waning

You’re afraid.

This is the true sign of “institutional bull”—every dip is retail selling, institutions absorbing.

Key level: 80,800, just a few hundred dollars above the institution’s cost basis.

Resistance above: 81,300 → 83,500 → 85k

Support below: 79k-79,200 → 76,800-78,000 → 74,500

Short-term traders:

Buy in stages between 79,200-80k, stop-loss at 78,000 (exit if broken), take half profits at 81,300, take profit at 83,500.

Swing/mid-term players:

Add 20-30% around 79K, hold position, target 85K-87K. Break 87K, look for 100K+ in the second half of the year. If it falls below 76,800 and ETFs have three consecutive days of net outflows, consider reducing positions.

Long-term believers:

Dollar-cost average below 80K. Wall Street is accumulating daily—what are you afraid of? But remember—don’t leverage, keep enough cash, wait for the pullback.

BTC now is just like October 2024—

When it was at 70K, everyone said “too high,” but two months later, it hit 100K.

You’re still waiting for a crash at 80K in the US strategic reserve bull market? #BTC回调 $BTC