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Oman negotiations become the "life and death" game for global finance!
What's next for BTC depends on Iran's stance?
Now, the first thing global traders check upon waking each day is not the K-line.
But Middle East news.
Because Oman negotiations are becoming the most important risk variable in the global market.
Trump originally successfully suppressed oil prices with the "Freedom Plan," and market risk appetite clearly rebounded.
BTC once surged to $80k.
As a result, after the Fujaira attack incident, crude oil prices skyrocketed.
Many people then realized:
The true market sentiment controller might not be the Federal Reserve.
But the Strait of Hormuz.
Why is the Oman negotiation so critical?
Because now the whole world is waiting for Iran's response:
"Should we make concessions on enriched uranium?"
If Iran relaxes, the market will immediately interpret it as a sign of easing tensions.
Oil prices could significantly cool down.
And once oil prices fall back, the pressure on the Federal Reserve will noticeably ease.
Risk assets will re-enter "party mode."
BTC might even hit new all-time highs again.
But if Iran continues to be tough, then the problem becomes serious.
Because what the market fears most now is:
Long-term high energy prices.
High oil prices mean rising transportation costs, inflation returning, and decreased consumer spending.
Ultimately impacting global growth.
And in a high-interest-rate environment, risk assets fear economic slowdown the most.
So recently, the market has been like a roller coaster.
Up one day.
Down two days.
Emotions more intense than dating variety shows.
But here’s an interesting phenomenon:
Institutions haven't fully exited BTC.
Instead, many long-term funds are gradually accumulating during the volatility.
The reason is simple.
They are betting on long-term monetary credit issues, not short-term sentiment.
So now, BTC has entered a "dual logic."
Short-term follows risk sentiment.
Long-term follows the global monetary system.
As for trading strategies?
One sentence:
Don’t bet on news.
Bet on position size.
Because those who truly make money are not the ones always guessing the right direction.
But those who survive when the market loses control.
#Gate广场五月交易分享