Bitcoin's current price, in my opinion, has almost reached the rebound limit.


Funding rates have been consistently negative, and the market may generally believe that the number of short positions exceeds long positions, but this is not an absolute indicator.
It is likely due to a large number of hedging and offset positions.
However, these hedging positions can be opened, and if the counterpart longs face a decline, it could be uncomfortable.
Moreover, the funding rate is now hovering around 0, not very extreme, so there is no sign of extreme bearishness.
The current volatility has decreased to near the high point in mid-January.
Although volatility does not provide directional guidance, high levels combined with low volatility usually do not signal a big rally.
Typically, low levels combined with low volatility are a precursor to an upward move!
So, overall, this current trend is basically coming to an end, with at most one more upward surge.
BTC0.93%
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