People betting on 76K are sneaking a smile: The ones truly making money are often the "buzzkill experts"

There are two types of people most likely to lose money in the market:
One is those who are always bullish;
The other is those who believe they will never get liquidated.
Recently, discussions about Bitcoin have clearly entered the "national enthusiasm" stage.
Suddenly, many macro analysts appear in social circles, even those who were selling bubble tea three months ago are now talking about Federal Reserve policies.
And this time, I actually think that 76K might still have a chance.
Because the core logic of prediction markets has never been "guess the future," but rather "guess if others will be too optimistic."
On Polymarket, I especially like a strategy: specifically buying options that most people are unwilling to look at.
Why? Because the odds hide emotional bubbles.
Many people think 76K is too conservative, but don’t forget, the market’s most skilled move is called "opening high and closing low."
Especially during major news cycles, pump and dump actions often resemble couples arguing — swearing eternal love one second, then blocking and deleting the next.
And recently, there’s a dangerous signal:
More and more people are starting to "loan for optimism."
What is loan for optimism?
It’s when, before reaching the target price, they’ve already started researching ways to buy a Ferrari in a certain color.
At such times, I prefer to consider defensive bets.
76K may not be sexy, but it has a huge advantage: it conforms to the rule of "the market’s cure for dissent."
People who truly make money are often like buzzkill experts.
When others shout bull market, they first look at the pullback;
When others shout for instant wealth, they first look at liquidation.
It may sound less exciting, but their account balances are usually healthier.
There’s a hidden truth in the crypto world:
Everyone wants to be a hero,
but in the end, those who make money are often the ones who turn off the lights and go home early.