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The Iran-U.S. peace agreement is a positive signal, with BTC and gold continuing to surge towards target levels.
The core driver of BTC's current rally stems from the market pricing in an early resolution between Iran and the U.S., forming a triple positive resonance pattern: expectations of geopolitical easing suppress energy prices, indirectly weakening global inflation persistence, and undermining the Federal Reserve's continued hawkish rate hikes; the US dollar index is under pressure and weakening.
Currently, the market is prematurely discounting the optimistic expectations of geopolitical conflict easing, with prices fully reflecting the positive premium from the cooling of the situation.
In the short term, as long as the tone of Iran-U.S. negotiations remains relaxed, the bullish pattern for BTC has solid support. However, it is important to rationally view the fundamental rhythm; if both sides are to reach a substantial comprehensive agreement, it will still require multiple rounds of negotiations over 30 days, combined with political bargaining, implementation of terms, and other uncertainties. The market may experience repeated fluctuations.
BTC trading suggestion: buy at 791-795, stop loss at 800 points, target 807, break through to see 817-823.
ETH trading suggestion: buy at 2258-2275, stop loss at 40-50 points, target 2239, break through to see 2270-2411.