Is $114 oil just the beginning? Global capital is quietly shifting into "war mode"!

Recently, the global markets resemble a large reality show: discussing interest rate cuts during the day, debating missiles at night.
Trump's "Freedom Plan" initially gave the market a shot of adrenaline. Low oil prices, loose expectations, risk appetite rebounding, tech stocks and Bitcoin soaring together.
But after the attack on Fuchairah, the capital markets suddenly realized: this Middle Eastern oil pot could blow up again at any time.
Now, what the market truly worries about isn't just another attack, but supply chain risks.
If the Strait of Hormuz faces bigger issues, global energy transportation costs will rise across the board.
By then, not just Bitcoin, even U.S. stocks might have to kneel.
Many ask: will Iran make a symbolic concession in negotiations in Oman?
I think they will make "symbolic concessions," but not truly back down.
Because enriched uranium is not just a technical issue, but also a strategic bargaining chip.
Next, the market may see a particularly interesting phenomenon: the worse the economy, the more expensive energy becomes;
the more expensive energy is, the more the market fears; the more the market fears, the higher gold rises.
So global funds will start withdrawing from growth assets and shifting into "hard assets."
Why has gold been so strong lately? Because it doesn't rely on earnings like stocks, nor on sentiment like cryptocurrencies.
In chaotic times, gold's biggest advantage is that it "tells no stories."
My trading strategy has shifted to a "high volatility mode": reducing frequent trades, not chasing hot topics, avoiding high leverage.
Because now it's not about who sees the future most accurately, but about who can survive the longest.
There is a very true saying in the market: when the market is bad, cash is oxygen; when chaos reigns, position size is life. #Polymarket每日热点