Recently, I saw a bunch of people linking ETF capital flows and the risk appetite in the US stock market to the daily ups and downs of cryptocurrencies... It's not that it can't be done, but honestly, the more emotional noise there is, the less confident I am to go all in. When I can't sleep, no matter how "correct" the strategy is, it doesn't help.

Grid/DCA is like installing a buffer cushion for yourself: it may not make the biggest profits, but it helps you watch the market less and think less. Going all in is more like betting all your judgment and luck on the same night—winning feels great, but losing means you’re a wreck the next day. Anyway, I tend to be a lone wolf; I’d rather miss out on a bit than be dragged around by the market.

I see complexity as the enemy: if you can sleep well using simple rules, then don’t bother with too many tricks. Let’s start with this.