Today I saw another "coincidental transfer," and a bunch of people in the group are going into conspiracy theories. I'm just a degenerate who keeps track of accounts, so I habitually break down the path: where it came from, how many hops it took, whether there's an intermediary collection address/exchange hot wallet, and if there's a cross-chain segment. Honestly, many "mysterious" things are just the bridge being disassembled and reassembled, or robots smoothly routing transactions. Recently, with bridges being hacked, everyone's nerves are on edge, and whenever they see cross-chain traces, they automatically assume there's a ghost... But what I fear more is an oracle malfunction, where a sudden glitch triggers a bunch of on-chain liquidations instantly, and people start "waiting for confirmation" and forming consensus together. Anyway, my own rule is: if I can't understand the path, I don't add to my position; if it can be explained as normal circulation, I treat it as noise; impulsiveness is impulsiveness, but I keep my hands in check.

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