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$BTC Many people are starting to call for a market top.
Actually, I’m not surprised at all; as the market moves higher, more and more people will be bearish.
It’s not because they understand the market better, but because this level makes people uncomfortable.
From $60,000 to $80,000, those who got in early worry about a pullback, while those who missed out wait for a crash.
At this point, the market is never short of “reasons to be bearish.”
You’ll see all kinds of analysis: three-month cycles, a drop in May, ETH catching up then collapsing.
They sound logical, but essentially they use the past to explain the present and then predict the future.
The problem is, the market has never moved that way.
I’ve always only looked at one thing—structure.
Right now, the daily structure isn’t broken, the trend is still intact, and funds haven’t clearly retreated.
Can it drop here? Of course, but is there a “must drop” signal? Not at the moment.
So many people are shorting now, but it’s not about following the trend; it’s betting on a top.
If they’re right, it’s satisfying, but most of the time, it’s just the trend teaching you a lesson.
Many people lose money because of this—trading mainstream coins like gambling, either chasing highs or top-ticking, getting liquidated back and forth.
Those who last long are the ones who eat slowly, not those who go all-in at once.
And one more thing you can think about yourself:
Why is the volume of bearish calls so high?
Because those with positions are afraid, and those without positions empathize.
But high volume doesn’t mean correctness.
My view now is simple: the trend isn’t broken, so don’t blindly short;
the position isn’t low, so don’t chase longs.
Wait for the structure to develop before acting, not just rely on feelings.
No one can predict exactly how the market will move, but one thing is certain—
Whether you make money or not depends not on how many times you call the top right, but on whether you can control yourself.
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