Today I saw that kind of "coincidence transfer": A just received a transaction, 30 seconds later it gets split into a bunch of new addresses, then loops back to the old address, and the comment section directly calls it insider trading. To put it simply, many times it's not a coincidence, but the path hasn't been broken down and looked at clearly: exchange hot wallet transfers, cross-chain bridge landings, aggregator order splitting, studio bulk claim airdrops / tasks, and finally on-chain it looks like someone is pulling the strings.

My current clumsy method is: first extend the timeline a bit, and draw according to "who paid the first gas, who paid the transaction fee, and which known address finally shipped out" — this can explain half of the emotions. The inflation + studio + token price spiral in chain games is even more obvious; the more addresses, the more it looks like prosperity, but it's actually just a production line running. Don't be fooled by "activity"... I mark these paths in red on my ledger, and I don't dare to rush blindly. Let's see.