Recommended answer: B. $110

Brief reasoning
Middle Eastern geopolitical risks are the core variable for oil prices in May. If there are frictions near the Strait of Hormuz or major oil-producing countries face supply restrictions, short-term risk premiums will quickly push up oil prices. Currently, global inventories are low, and OPEC+ still maintains production cuts; the demand side is entering the peak travel season, and the supply-demand structure is tight. $80 serves as a bottom support level, reflecting the baseline scenario where risks have not materialized; $130 would require a major supply disruption, which has a relatively low probability. $110 is close to the emotional high point at the beginning of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, with historical reference, and can be achieved under a "tense but not out of control" scenario, making the risk-reward ratio quite reasonable. You can attach a Polymarket card to post and share this judgment.