Recently, watching on-chain "whale movements," some people get excited and want to follow the trades, but honestly, first you need to clarify whether they are building a position or hedging... The same large transaction, with different nonces, order splitting rhythms, or even just dropping a small amount first to test the waters, makes a big difference. For hedging, it might look like buying, but in fact, the other side may have already opened a reverse position earlier, and following along would just become their liquidity.



And now everyone is complaining about validators eating MEV and unfair ordering, I can understand: what you see as "whale transactions" might already be the result of someone else’s packaged order sequence. Anyway, lately I’ve been more focused on waiting for confirmations, waiting for a pullback, and also waiting until I’ve thought things through before acting, because emotional following really can be easily driven by the "sequence." That’s all for now.
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