Trump “pause” signal released; market risk quickly cools

In the early morning of May 6 Beijing time, Trump posted that, against the backdrop of “significant progress” in negotiations with Iran, the U.S. military’s “Freedom Plan” to assist vessels transiting through the Strait of Hormuz will be temporarily paused in the short term, while maritime blockade measures will remain in place.
Rubio also said in parallel that the phased military tasks targeting Iran have been completed, and the current period is one for observation and negotiation.

After the news landed, the market quickly priced in a “risk downgrade”: U.S. stock index futures rose broadly, Nasdaq futures climbed nearly 1%, crude oil fell sharply, WTI fell below the $100 level, U.S. stocks extended their strength, and the chip sector led the way, hitting new highs.

What to note now is that the blockade is still in place and differences still remain; at its core, this is only entering an observation phase rather than an end.

Risk sentiment has eased notably in the short term, but uncertainty has not disappeared. The market is gradually shifting from being “driven by risk aversion” back to “pricing based on liquidity and fundamentals.” The most tense phase has passed, but the real directional choice hasn’t begun yet. #比特币站稳8万关口 #加密市场回升 #油价突破110美元 $BTC ‌