1 Major Cryptocurrency Price Trends

Bitcoin (BTC)

Current price: Fluctuating around $80,400–81,300

24-hour increase: +0.66%

7-day increase: +5.93%

Monthly increase: +20.17%

Year-to-date performance: -16.12% (still in the recovery phase for the year)

Ethereum (ETH)

Current price: Around $2,366–2,390

24-hour increase: +0.19%

Monthly increase: +15.35%

Year-to-date increase: +29.15%

Other major coins like SOL, BNB, XRP, etc., mostly follow the market rebound, but with clear divergence, capital is flowing into leading assets.

2 Factors Driving the Rise

Institutional capital continues to flow in

U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs maintain net inflows, creating stable allocation demand.

Large asset management firms view BTC as "digital gold" for long-term allocation.

Macroeconomic safe-haven sentiment heats up

Although the U.S. and Iran announced a pause in the "Freedom Plan" and surface-level easing, the Strait of Hormuz remains tense, with the UAE repeatedly sounding missile alerts.

Geopolitical uncertainties boost demand for safe-haven assets, with some funds flowing into the crypto market.

U.S. dollar remains accommodative

The dollar index hovers around 98.2, with U.S. Treasury yields slightly falling (10-year around 4.42%), benefiting risk assets.

Market expects the Federal Reserve to avoid aggressive rate hikes in the short term, with liquidity conditions relatively friendly.

Technical breakthrough at key levels

Bitcoin successfully holds above the $80,000 psychological threshold, reaching a new high since February 2026, indicating a strengthening technical pattern.

3 Potential Risks and Warnings

High leverage accumulation

Current market leverage is high; a price correction could trigger a chain of liquidations, increasing volatility.

Regulatory pressures persist

China implemented the "strictest ever" virtual currency regulations early this year, explicitly banning RWA tokenization, RMB stablecoin issuance, and other activities.

Multiple countries (such as the EU and US SEC) continue to push for transparent regulation, with policy uncertainty remaining.

Profit-taking pressure

Bitcoin has gained over 20% this month, accumulating significant profit-taking chips, with a short-term risk of technical correction.

Macroeconomic disturbances

The policy stance of new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Woor is still unclear;

If U.S.-Iran conflict prolongs, it may force global central banks to shift toward anti-inflation policies, tightening liquidity.

4 Market Outlook

Short-term: If support at $80,000 holds, BTC may challenge the $82,000–85,000 range.

Mid-term: Attention should be paid to the June Federal Reserve meeting, U.S. inflation data, and geopolitical developments.

Strategy Recommendations:

Investors should avoid chasing highs and consider gradual deployment during pullbacks;

Strictly control leverage to prevent extreme market conditions;

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