History always repeats itself surprisingly. History is exactly the same. People do not learn any lessons from history. Bitcoin halves every four years; currently, Bitcoin’s 10-minute block reward is 3.125. The total supply is 21 million. Nearly 20 million have been mined. It’s expected that all will be mined by 2140. This Bitcoin cycle will definitely break below the previous bull market high of 69k. Starting now. Every step down in the bear market requires falling below the previous bull market’s high point. And the previous high point was 69k. So this time, it will definitely fall below 69k. And at 69k, a very strong support will form—meaning 70k is a very strong support. Once it breaks below that, there will be a decent rebound. But the big-picture trend is still downward. How low will it go? According to historical halving cycles: on December 2017, it was 20k, then crashed to below 3,000 by December 2018. A plunge of 85%. In November 2021, Bitcoin was 69k USD; the lowest point after a year of decline. In November 2022, Bitcoin was 15.5k USD, a drop of 77%. So this time, Bitcoin’s decline will also be about 77%. That means Bitcoin won’t fall below 30k. But Bitcoin will break below 69k USD. If it crashes by around 65%, then the low point will be around 45k USD. When Bitcoin is around 30k–60k USD, it’s suitable for setting up positions. At least below 60k, the maximum loss is 50%, because 60k could plunge to 30k. But below 60k is not suitable for going all-in to bottom-fish. And it’s also not suitable to keep being bearish. Because the bottom is most likely around 30k–50k USD. On October 6, 2025, Bitcoin’s highest price is 126.2k USD. After a year-long plunge, around October 2026, that’s when the lowest price occurs. And the market will consolidate and trade sideways at the bottom for a few months, with all kinds of panic emotions. When the panic index is around 10, that’s a good time to enter positions. Price: 30k–60k USD. Timing: around the end of 2026. Then hold until 2029, when Bitcoin’s price is around 150k–250k USD for selling. There’s at least a 2–8x potential upside—this is just for Bitcoin. We can think about how many multiples those “wild-card” projects like sol and hype could have. But big capital will definitely focus on Bitcoin, because Bitcoin already has a 60% market share. Bitcoin hasn’t even finished—people are still playing with digital currencies? Because every project team only wants to trick and take your Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the ultimate form of digital currency. #WCTC交易王PK

BTC0.02%
SOL3.76%
HYPE-1.41%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments
  • Pin