I used to be a bit paranoid, always saying "I only look on-chain," and whenever the stablecoin supply increased, I would start to imagine: oh, outside money is coming in, ETFs are about to pump... Now I think that's pretty stupid; correlation doesn't necessarily mean causation. Sometimes it's just that everyone is moving money to different pockets, or there's simply more on-chain transfers. ETFs are the same—when news breaks, emotions soar, but whether the funds truly land depends on the details; don’t get carried away by a single chart. Anyway, I’m now more cautious: first, check the signing process to avoid phishing, then look at the fund flows. Otherwise, during the airdrop season, many task platforms mess up the witch hunt, and the points system feels like going to work, and in the end, what’s in the wallet isn’t profit but a bunch of authorization records... My hardware wallet has gathered dust, but I still have to take it out and press buttons to confirm—tiring but reassuring.